Articles and Insights
Stay informed on developments in the economy and global markets through articles from the Towneley team.
Fed Up With The Fed
At the close of 2019, we lost one of the greatest Fed chairmen: Paul Volcker. Martin Wolf of the Financial Times described Volker as a man with the highest degree of moral courage, integrity, sagacity, prudence and devotion to the service of the country.
Elections Matter, but Not so Much to Your Investments
Election years can be fraught with uncertainty as developments surrounding the candidates, their platforms, and their predicted effects on the economy and markets dominate the news. But should you let this stream of political information influence how you and Towneley manage your investment portfolio?
The Wisdom of Warren
During the third quarter, the media released news of Warren Buffet’s two latest investment acquisitions. The billionaire’s investments do not always catch our attention, but this time it is different. Mr. Buffet seems concerned about the dollar’s weakness. He may also be worried about U.S. stock market valuations, which are at historic highs compared to those of some foreign stock markets.
Creative Destruction: Will the Pain Justify the Gain?
“Creative destruction” is a term that often surfaces during an economic crisis.
Organizing Digital Assets - A Life and Death Matter
As more people accrue digital assets, it’s important to consider curating an access point within your estate plan, such as a digital vault.
Coronavirus and Market Volatility
Stock markets don’t like uncertainty; last week the coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak and pandemic fears provided just that.
Modern Monetary Theory: The Cure What Ails the U.S.
As we head into the final quarter of 2019, we do so with some concern about recent fiscal and monetary policies being employed in the U.S. We discuss the potential pitfalls of Modern Monetary Theory in our Third Quarter Commentary that accompanies this letter.
The Uncommon Average
The U.S. stock market has delivered an average annual return of around 10% since 1926.1 But short-term results may vary, and in any given period stock returns can be positive, negative, or flat. When setting expectations, it’s helpful to see the range of outcomes experienced by investors historically. For example, how often have the stock market’s annual returns aligned with its long-term average?
2019 Mid-Year Update
The first half of the year saw strong market performance across all asset classes as client multi-asset portfolios have enjoyed positive returns.
Global Equity Markets: A Tale of Stimulus and Uncertainty in 2019
Global equity markets made a V-shaped rebound, rallying throughout the first quarter as all asset classes earned positive first quarter returns (see quarterly market review).
Q4 2018: IN PERSPECTIVE YEAR END NEWSLETTER
After logging strong returns in 2017, global equity markets delivered negative returns in US dollar terms in 2018.
Q3 2018: NEWSLETTER
We consider the U.S. economy to be extremely strong with a very low probability of a recession in the near future. Gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annual rate of 3.5% this past quarter.
Q2 2018: NEWSLETTER
The first half of 2018 has given us plenty of praiseworthy economic news. Consider the labor market: Unemployment has shrunk to a low we have not seen since a brief period in 2000.
Q1 2018: NEWSLETTER
As 2018 dawned, it seemed we might settle in for another year of records in the equities markets.
Current Market Fluctuations – February 7, 2018
The market had seen little volatility in recent months, but Monday made headlines as stocks declined. Stock markets can move quickly.
BREXIT MARKET COMMENTARY
Whenever the global financial markets react sharply to a news event, my first reaction is to ask who got caught on the wrong side and why.
NONPROFIT NEWS
As a nonprofit organization’s funds grow, fiscal management and oversight often come under increased scrutiny from stakeholders.
STOCK MARKET EXTREMES AND PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE 1926-1993
A study commissioned by Towneley Capital Management and conducted by Professor H. Nejat Seyhun, University of Michigan for 1926-1993.
STOCK MARKET EXTREMES AND PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
A study commissioned by Towneley Capital Management and conducted by Professor H. Nejat Seyhun, University of Michigan for 1926-2004.