Articles and Insights
Stay informed on developments in the economy and global markets through articles from the Towneley team.
Strength in Tech Overshadows Macro Headwinds
On the back of a robust labor market and declining inflation, global markets experienced a strong first half to the year, with the Russell 3000 increasing 16.2%, MSCI ACWI-EX US up 9.5% and Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index up 2.1%. The story for the year has been the resurgence of technology stocks following a challenging 2022, with the “Magnificent Seven” leading the market higher and accounting for roughly ¾ of the gains YTD.
What the Looming Debt Ceiling Deadline Means for Investors
The federal debt limit is again in the news as the country rapidly approaches a critical deadline on June 1. Investors are understandably nervous about Washington failing to reach an agreement.
Bank Failures Trigger Lending Pullback
Following a challenging 2022, markets rebounded during the first quarter of 2023. Domestic equities rallied 7.2% and non-U.S. equities earned 6.6%.
Economic and Market Review
2023 couldn't arrive quickly enough, as one of the worst years in U.S. stock and bond market history came to a close. 2022 will be remembered for the following events:
The Bear is Back
During the third quarter, the Bear returned to Wall Street after a nearly 13-year hiatus, during which the S&P 500 Index logged a whopping 587.33% cumulative return.
Financial Markets Overview
The only sectors and asset classes that avoided the market carnage during the first quarter of 2022 were energy stocks, commodities (other than precious metals), and Treasury bills.
Finding Good Amid The Bad and The Ugly
Investors faced historic challenges during the first quarter as domestic equity markets fell into correction territory following an exceptional two years of performance.
The U.S. Under Siege Redux
As we ring in 2022, we can't help but feel like we're facing a rerun of the past.
Inflation: Here To Stay, Or Just Passing Through?
As we begin the second half of 2021, vaccination rates are rising, businesses and economics continue to reopen, and the word on the street is “inflation.”
What Happens To Your Assets When You Die?
As the world around us becomes inextricably linked with digitized storage and transactions, it’s important to consider what happens posthumously to your digital assets.
Fed Up With The Fed
At the close of 2019, we lost one of the greatest Fed chairmen: Paul Volcker. Martin Wolf of the Financial Times described Volker as a man with the highest degree of moral courage, integrity, sagacity, prudence and devotion to the service of the country.
Creative Destruction: Will the Pain Justify the Gain?
“Creative destruction” is a term that often surfaces during an economic crisis.
Organizing Digital Assets - A Life and Death Matter
As more people accrue digital assets, it’s important to consider curating an access point within your estate plan, such as a digital vault.
Modern Monetary Theory: The Cure What Ails the U.S.
As we head into the final quarter of 2019, we do so with some concern about recent fiscal and monetary policies being employed in the U.S. We discuss the potential pitfalls of Modern Monetary Theory in our Third Quarter Commentary that accompanies this letter.
2019 Mid-Year Update
The first half of the year saw strong market performance across all asset classes as client multi-asset portfolios have enjoyed positive returns.
Global Equity Markets: A Tale of Stimulus and Uncertainty in 2019
Global equity markets made a V-shaped rebound, rallying throughout the first quarter as all asset classes earned positive first quarter returns (see quarterly market review).
Q4 2018: IN PERSPECTIVE YEAR END NEWSLETTER
After logging strong returns in 2017, global equity markets delivered negative returns in US dollar terms in 2018.
Q3 2018: NEWSLETTER
We consider the U.S. economy to be extremely strong with a very low probability of a recession in the near future. Gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annual rate of 3.5% this past quarter.
Q2 2018: NEWSLETTER
The first half of 2018 has given us plenty of praiseworthy economic news. Consider the labor market: Unemployment has shrunk to a low we have not seen since a brief period in 2000.
Q1 2018: NEWSLETTER
As 2018 dawned, it seemed we might settle in for another year of records in the equities markets.